Live · As of May 2026

Refreshed 2h ago

S&P 500 P/E Ratio

Price-to-earnings ratio for the S&P 500 — how much investors pay for each dollar of corporate profit. The Shiller PE (CAPE) smooths earnings over a 10-year inflation-adjusted window to filter out cyclical swings.

Shiller PE (CAPE)
42.0
Trailing P/E: 31.8
Strongly Overvalued
Shiller PE (CAPE)
42.0
Trailing P/E
31.8
Long-run Shiller median
16.1

Historical Chart

Shiller PE (CAPE)
Historical Shiller PE peaks
Sep 1929
32.6
Pre-Crash peak
Dec 1999
44.2
Dot-com bubble — all-time high
Nov 2021
38.6
Post-pandemic liquidity peak

What it means

A high P/E ratio means investors are paying a lot per dollar of earnings — either because they expect rapid future growth or because the market is overpriced. The Shiller PE (CAPE) is preferred for long-horizon comparisons because it averages real earnings over 10 years, removing the boom-bust noise that distorts the trailing P/E during recessions.

Data sourced from Robert Shiller's long-running dataset via multpl.com, refreshed every few hours.

Zones (Shiller PE)

  • Strongly Undervalued< 12
  • Undervalued12 – 17
  • Fair Value17 – 22
  • Overvalued22 – 30
  • Strongly Overvalued> 30

Buffett on P/E

How the world's most famous value investor thinks about price-to-earnings — in his own words.

Price is what you pay, value is what you get.
Berkshire Hathaway 2008 shareholder letter

P/E only matters relative to the quality and durability of the earnings behind it.

It's far better to buy a wonderful company at a fair price than a fair company at a wonderful price.
Berkshire Hathaway 1989 shareholder letter

Why he paid 20–25× earnings for See's, Coca-Cola, and Apple. A low P/E in a declining business is usually a value trap.

In the short run, the market is a voting machine, but in the long run, it is a weighing machine.
Benjamin Graham — quoted approvingly by Buffett many times

Short-term P/E swings are sentiment. Long-term P/E reflects real earning power.

The ratio of total market cap to GNP is probably the best single measure of where valuations stand at any given moment.
Fortune magazine, December 2001

His preferred market-level gauge is Market Cap / GDP — not the aggregate P/E — though he still watches CAPE as a sanity check.

How Buffett actually reads P/E

  • Owner earnings over EPS. He prefers free cash flow after maintenance capex to reported accounting earnings, which can be distorted by depreciation schedules, one-offs, and aggressive buybacks.
  • P/E plus return on capital. A 25× business compounding at 20% ROIC is cheaper than a 10× business stuck at 6%. Multiple alone tells you nothing.
  • Durability of earnings. He pays up for moats — brand, scale, switching costs — because the “E” will still be there in 20 years.
  • Beware single-digit P/Es. Cheap multiples in fading businesses (newspapers, textiles — his original Berkshire mistake) are traps, not bargains.